unclassified // open source
ORDN.OSINT
EOD INTELLIGENCE PLATFORM
SYS
DEGRADED

SOURCES

77 UNIQUE SOURCES // 109 TOTAL CITATIONS // 77 PERSPECTIVE-TAGGED

SOURCING METHODOLOGY

ORDN.OSINT covers ordnance, unmanned systems, and maritime-chokepoint activity across the Indo-Pacific. Every data point is checked against multiple source perspectives using adversarial cross-referencing: what a government claims about its own systems, what adversary and independent trackers report, and how the same event is framed across aligned, non-aligned, and Eastern media.

When sources agree, confidence is high. When they diverge, we show the range and explain why — whether the difference is a scope definition (for example, one source counting confirmed system deliveries and another counting claimed ones), inflation, or genuinely contested information. Every published data point carries its source rating; click any stat's (i) button for full provenance.

Sources are rated on the NATO OSINT scale — a letter for source reliability (A-F) and a number for information credibility (1-5). No single source is treated as ground truth. Everything here is UNCLASSIFIED // OPEN SOURCE, reference only, not for operational use.

NATO SOURCE RELIABILITY SCALE

A
Completely ReliableOfficial government/military primary
B
Usually ReliableEstablished defense/news press
C
Fairly ReliableReputable secondary reporting
D
Not Usually ReliableSocial media OSINT, state propaganda
E
UnreliableUnverified propaganda
F
Cannot Be JudgedNew or unknown source

INFORMATION CREDIBILITY (1-5)

The number is independent of the source. A usually-reliable source can still report something unconfirmed. Our summary labels map to these tiers: CONFIRMED = 1, ASSESSED = 2-3, SUSPECTED = 4-5.

1
ConfirmedCONFIRMEDIndependently corroborated by multiple reliable sources
2
Probably TrueASSESSEDConsistent with other information; not fully corroborated
3
Possibly TrueASSESSEDReasonable but uncorroborated
4
DoubtfulSUSPECTEDContradicted by other reporting
5
ImprobableSUSPECTEDContradicted by reliable information

CORRECTIONS LOG

[4]

When the published record is wrong, we say so here, dated and in plain language. A corrections log is not an admission of weakness; it is the difference between analysis and a rumor mill.

2026-07-20Classification

Was: Forty-four unmanned systems were categorized as loitering munitions and drawn on the threat map as filled engagement rings. Reconnaissance and electronic-warfare drones were shown as if they were area-denial weapons.

Fixed: Systems are now split by role. ISR and support platforms render as a sensor or patrol radius, armed drones as a combat radius, and only true one-way-attack munitions keep a reach ring. No unarmed platform is drawn as a weapon footprint.

2026-07-20Data integrity

Was: Twenty-four synthetic dark-vessel detections created during development had been written into the historical maritime record.

Fixed: The synthetic detections were removed and the ingestion path was changed so placeholder data can never again be persisted to the reference record.

2026-07-20Freshness

Was: Several pages presented archived April 2026 reporting with live-looking status indicators, so a reader could mistake month-old intelligence for current reporting.

Fixed: Every page now stamps the age of its newest data and marks stale content plainly. Archived reporting is labeled as archived, with its date.

2026-04-18Attribution

Was: Two DPRK unmanned systems had their roles and ranges transposed in the initial dataset: the Saetbyol-4 (strike, roughly 250 km) and Saetbyol-9 (ISR, roughly 3,000 km).

Fixed: The designations were corrected against CSIS and IISS reporting and re-rated.

WESTERN / US-ALLIED[23]

Official US, Israeli, and allied government sources plus established Western defense press. These provide the baseline for US/coalition operations data. Bias: may underreport own losses, overstate adversary damage.

[A-1]
ADM Brad Cooper quote (via Axios)Completely Reliable / Confirmed
1 citation
[A-1]
CENTCOMCompletely Reliable / Confirmed
1 citation
[A-1]
CENTCOM Press ReleaseCompletely Reliable / Confirmed
5 citations
[A-1]
Pentagon (manned shootdowns only)Completely Reliable / Confirmed
1 citation
[A-1]
SURFPAC Official PageCompletely Reliable / Confirmed
2 citations
[A-1]
White House StatementCompletely Reliable / Confirmed
1 citation
[B-2]
AxiosUsually Reliable / Probably True
2 citations
[B-2]
CNBCUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
CNNUsually Reliable / Probably True
2 citations
[B-2]
DefenseScoopUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
FortuneUsually Reliable / Probably True
2 citations
[B-2]
JanesUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
Jerusalem PostUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
Naval NewsUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
NBC NewsUsually Reliable / Probably True
2 citations
[B-2]
NPRUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
The War ZoneUsually Reliable / Probably True
2 citations
[B-2]
Times of IsraelUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
UK-led 40-nation coalition (via Al Jazeera)Usually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
Washington TimesUsually Reliable / Probably True
2 citations
[C-2]
Fox NewsFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-3]
IDF Intelligence (via JPost)Fairly Reliable / Possibly True
1 citation
[C-2]
Just The NewsFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
NON-ALIGNED[8]

Major international outlets not aligned with either side. Al Jazeera, Indian media, Asian press. Provides independent framing. Bias: editorial perspectives vary but not state-directed.

[B-2]
Al JazeeraUsually Reliable / Probably True
7 citations
[B-2]
Al Jazeera (UK coalition)Usually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
CNBC (UAE oil CEO)Usually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
Asia TimesFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
Defence Security AsiaFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
Haaretz / Al ArabiyaFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
Middle East Monitor (FACTBOX)Fairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
The Week (India)Fairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
INDEPENDENT / OSINT[37]

OSINT aggregators, human rights NGOs, academic institutions, and conflict trackers. Often the most granular data. Bias: methodology varies, may lack access to classified information.

[A-1]
CENTCOM StatementCompletely Reliable / Confirmed
1 citation
[A-1]
DoD Epic Fury Fact SheetCompletely Reliable / Confirmed
1 citation
[A-1]
DoD Fact SheetCompletely Reliable / Confirmed
3 citations
[A-2]
Human Rights WatchCompletely Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[A-2]
Lloyd's ListCompletely Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-1]
ACLEDUsually Reliable / Confirmed
2 citations
[B-2]
Al Jazeera Live TrackerUsually Reliable / Probably True
2 citations
[B-2]
CBS NewsUsually Reliable / Probably True
2 citations
[B-2]
Critical Threats (AEI)Usually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
Defence-Industry.euUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
Hengaw Organization for Human RightsUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
International Crisis GroupUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
Israel National NewsUsually Reliable / Probably True
3 citations
[B-2]
itamilradarUsually Reliable / Probably True
4 citations
[B-2]
JPostUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-1]
Military TimesUsually Reliable / Confirmed
1 citation
[B-1]
Military.comUsually Reliable / Confirmed
1 citation
[B-2]
Navy TimesUsually Reliable / Probably True
2 citations
[B-2]
Stars and StripesUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
StatistaUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
The Global StatisticsUsually Reliable / Probably True
3 citations
[B-2]
Washington PostUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
19FortyFiveFairly Reliable / Probably True
2 citations
[C-2]
CyberShafaratFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-3]
Defence Trading AnalysisFairly Reliable / Possibly True
1 citation
[C-2]
Global Military TrackerFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
IranWarLive.comFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
Legal Insurrection (citing IDF)Fairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
SAZF FactsheetFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
The InterceptFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
Wikipedia — USS Frank E. Petersen Jr.Fairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
Wikipedia — USS Michael MurphyFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[D-4]
Analyst estimateNot Usually Reliable / Doubtful
1 citation
[D-4]
Analyst estimate (based on 2024 Iran exchange costs + Lebanon ops)Not Usually Reliable / Doubtful
1 citation
[D-4]
Analyst estimate (based on Iraq 2003 daily rates adjusted)Not Usually Reliable / Doubtful
1 citation
[D-4]
Analyst estimate (unit costs × quantities)Not Usually Reliable / Doubtful
1 citation
[D-3]
EGYOSINT (@EGYOSINT via X)Not Usually Reliable / Possibly True
1 citation
EASTERN / RU-CN STATE[3]

Russian and Chinese state media. Amplifies adversary narratives and US/Israeli losses. Useful for understanding how the conflict is framed to non-Western audiences. Bias: state-directed editorial line.

[D-3]
Global Times (China)Not Usually Reliable / Possibly True
2 citations
[D-4]
RT (Russia)Not Usually Reliable / Doubtful
1 citation
[D-3]
Xinhua (China)Not Usually Reliable / Possibly True
1 citation
ADVERSARY / IRANIAN[6]

Iranian state media, IRGC statements, and affiliated outlets. Primary source for Iranian government claims. Bias: propaganda function, systematically underreports own losses and overstates enemy damage.

[D-3]
Iran Health MinistryNot Usually Reliable / Possibly True
1 citation
[D-3]
Iranian state media (PressTV)Not Usually Reliable / Possibly True
1 citation
[D-3]
IRGC (via semiofficial Iranian media)Not Usually Reliable / Possibly True
1 citation
[D-2]
PressTV (Iranian state media)Not Usually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[E-4]
Iranian state media (IRNA/PressTV)Unreliable / Doubtful
1 citation
[E-4]
Iranian state TV (via PBS/AP)Unreliable / Doubtful
1 citation